At ISW, we're committed to providing in-depth and insightful analysis of Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine. In this video, Russia Team Lead and Senior Analyst Mason Clark shares how our team delves into open-source information to assess and forecast Russian intentions, striving to understand every facet of this complex conflict. Since December 2021, our dedicated team, initially just three people, has been working tirelessly, seven days a week, often for 12 to 14 hours a day. We take pride
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In 2025, ISW’s independent, data-driven analysis shaped how policymakers and the public understood some of the most consequential conflicts of our time — from Ukraine’s defense and Russia’s campaign to the Twelve-Day War between Israel and Iran, to China’s expanding coercive operations across the Indo-Pacific. ISW’s timely, factual intelligence ensured that decisions in Washington and allied capitals were informed by ground truth rather than adversary narratives. As the world grows more unstable
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Understanding modern conflict means understanding information warfare. ISW's Cognitive Warfare Task Force exposes the adversary narratives and influence operations that shape how the world understands conflict — from Ukraine to the Middle East to the Indo-Pacific. In this video, ISW analysts Kateryna Stepanenko and Christina Harward share how ISW's analysis exposed Russian narratives and influence campaigns designed to shape US and allied perceptions of the war in Ukraine. Your support fuels thi
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Watch: Latest analysis of Ukraine war as Russia struggles to make tactical gains
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ISW assesses Russia's plan to end the war in Ukraine by 2026
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NEW: Russian forces gained 4,168 square kilometers, largely comprised of fields and small settlements in Ukraine and Kursk Oblast, at a reported cost of over 420,000 casualties in 2024. The Russian military command largely prioritized efforts to seize the remainder of Donetsk Oblast and establish a buffer zone in northern Kharkiv Oblast in 2024 but failed to accomplish these goals. Russian forces have seized four mid-sized settlements - Avdiivka, Selydove, Vuhledar, and Kurakhove - in all of 202
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Russian forces currently hold the initiative and can dictate the tempo, timing, and location of their operations. Ukrainian forces will likely continue to lose ground this year, at least until they receive a badly needed resupply from the United States. In a new episode of the ISW Briefing Room, Russia and GEOINT Team Lead George Barros virtually tours and details the situation across the frontline in Ukraine. | Institute for the Study of War
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