“There are two kinds of forecasters: Those who don’t know, and those who don’t know they don’t know.” — Economist John Kenneth Galbraith The Wall Street firm with the best record forecasting the S&P ...

Prediction market traders consistently beat professionals in forecasting inflation, especially when the readings deviate from estimates by a greater amount, according to a study by prediction market ...

Wall Street stock gurus are making predictions again. Our columnist got into the game with a number he doesn’t believe. By Jeff Sommer Jeff Sommer writes Strategies, a weekly column on markets, ...